The
Forecast
A
financial forecast is
used by a company's management
team to determine if the current month's sales and costs are going
according to plan. It is a tool to keep costs in line with the sales
for the current month.
This report initially
comes from the long-range
plan, or business
plan. The long-range plan is a five year plan that a company
develops to guide the company into the future. The first year of this
long-range plan is called a budget.
This annual budget is the only year of the long-range plan that is
divided into monthly forecasts.
From the budget, these
monthly reports are then updated monthly with new
information that is known.The budget is usually done in the fourth
quarter of the previous year, and as the new year progresses, the
budget
information becomes old. It should be updated with new information
about sales and costs.
The
business needs this monthly information to run the company and protect
profits. Materials and supplies to make product are based on
the current month's sales. Labor needed to produce the product or
service is hired or layed off based on the predicted sales volume for
the month.
You can see how important
it is to have an accurate prediction of how the current and future
months will look in terms of sales. If sudden events happen, such a
large decrease in sales, the management must act quickly and not order
more material and supplies than needed. Labor must be scaled back to
meet current requirements. Many businesses operate with little room for
error when it comes to their profit. A quick response to known changes
in sales helps save profits or keep losses to a minimum.
It
always goes back to the Business
Plan:
Usually,
the top management will always go back to the original five year
business plan. If the current numbers are off from the plan,
then management will need to explain what happened.
This is called bridging the gap, and is nothing more than explaining
the difference between the
business plan numbers and the current forecasted months.
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